tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Pittsburgh via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:08 MSP → 16:50 PHL
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 PHL → 19:12 PIT
    AA 6092 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 32m · 69% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 04mMSP 13:08 to PIT 19:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.