tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:40 PHL → 12:38 MSP
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:45 MSP → 17:59 MEM
    DL 4063 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 19mPHL 10:40 to MEM 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.