Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:24 MSY → 21:00 DCA
    AA 5670 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 47m · 49% on time, 16.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 DCA → 23:30 ORD
    AA 4419 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 10.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (16.9% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (10.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 06mMSY 17:24 to ORD 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.