tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → San Francisco via San Diego: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:36 SMF → 10:20 SAN
    AS 3015 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 SAN → 15:14 SFO
    AS 3352 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 38mSMF 08:36 to SFO 15:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.