tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Monterey via San Diego: arrives on time 10%

  1. 19:59 DEN → 21:40 SAN
    AS 3020 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 27% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:26 SAN → 23:58 MRY
    AS 3005 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 76% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Monterey is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection15%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 85% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (15%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 59mDEN 19:59 to MRY 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.