tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:05 PHX → 14:33 SAN
    AS 3028 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SAN → 18:33 OAK
    AS 2190 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 38m · 49% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 28mPHX 13:05 to OAK 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.