tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Spokane via San Diego: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:37 SMF → 19:21 SAN
    AS 3036 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:22 SAN → 23:07 GEG
    AS 566 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 30mSMF 17:37 to GEG 23:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.