tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Barbara via San Diego: arrives on time 72%

  1. 17:37 SMF → 19:21 SAN
    AS 3036 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 SAN → 23:44 SBA
    AS 2175 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 12m · 93% on time, 19.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (19.2% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 07mSMF 17:37 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.