tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via San Diego: arrives on time 89%

  1. 17:37 SMF → 19:21 SAN
    AS 3036 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 SAN → 04:40 MDW +1 day
    WN 257 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 03mSMF 17:37 to MDW 04:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.