tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 89%

  1. 17:37 SMF → 19:21 SAN
    AS 3036 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 SAN → 00:12 LAS +1 day
    WN 3510 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 100% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip6h 35mSMF 17:37 to LAS 00:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.