tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 19:23 STS → 21:30 SEA
    AS 3044 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 07mSTS 19:23 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.