tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 19:23 STS → 21:30 SEA
    AS 3044 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:26 SEA → 00:22 PDX +1 day
    AS 2377 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 56m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 59mSTS 19:23 to PDX 00:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.