tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:04 STS → 12:50 SAN
    AS 3047 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 SAN → 18:11 PHX
    AS 3061 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 57% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 07mSTS 11:04 to PHX 18:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.