tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 19:20 EUG → 20:35 SEA
    AS 3048 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 SEA → 22:25 PDX
    AS 498 · Alaska · 57m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip3h 05mEUG 19:20 to PDX 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.