tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via San Diego: arrives on time 55%

  1. 10:03 SJC → 11:43 SAN
    AS 3059 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:42 SAN → 21:00 DCA
    AS 14 · Alaska · 5h 18m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 57mSJC 10:03 to DCA 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.