tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Boise via Spokane: arrives on time 22%

  1. 12:29 SFO → 14:36 GEG
    AS 3075 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Spokane (GEG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 GEG → 18:13 BOI
    AS 2264 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 08m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 44mSFO 12:29 to BOI 18:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.