tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 12:03 PDX → 13:03 SEA
    AS 3078 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 SEA → 22:29 JFK
    AS 16 · Alaska · 5h 27m · 63% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 26mPDX 12:03 to JFK 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.