tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Seattle via Ontario: arrives on time 67%

  1. 16:35 STS → 18:03 ONT
    AS 3086 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ONT → 23:59 SEA
    AS 594 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 24mSTS 16:35 to SEA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.