tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:27 MFR → 14:55 SEA
    AS 3087 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:36 SEA → 20:48 SFO
    AS 619 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip7h 21mMFR 13:27 to SFO 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.