tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 35%

  1. 09:20 RNO → 11:23 SEA
    AS 3089 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:13 SEA → 18:21 DFW
    AS 549 · Alaska · 4h 08m · 72% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 01mRNO 09:20 to DFW 18:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.