tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:22 MSO → 12:02 SEA
    AS 3100 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:38 SEA → 19:00 MSP
    AS 527 · Alaska · 3h 22m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 38mMSO 11:22 to MSP 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.