tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:22 MSO → 12:02 SEA
    AS 3100 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 09mMSO 11:22 to SFO 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.