tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:49 RDM → 19:10 SEA
    AS 3124 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 SEA → 23:03 SAN
    AS 1398 · Alaska · 2h 56m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 14mRDM 17:49 to SAN 23:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.