tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:49 RDM → 19:10 SEA
    AS 3124 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SEA → 23:06 LAX
    AS 63 · Alaska · 2h 51m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 17mRDM 17:49 to LAX 23:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.