tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 17:49 RDM → 19:10 SEA
    AS 3124 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 SEA → 23:49 PHX
    AS 644 · Alaska · 2h 59m · 70% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 00mRDM 17:49 to PHX 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.