tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 38%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 09:49 PDX
    AS 3132 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:42 PDX → 12:39 SFO
    AS 1445 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip3h 54mSEA 08:45 to SFO 12:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.