tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 45%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 09:49 PDX
    AS 3132 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:38 PDX → 13:15 SNA
    AS 588 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 30mSEA 08:45 to SNA 13:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.