tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Medford via Portland: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 09:49 PDX
    AS 3132 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PDX → 11:53 MFR
    AS 3300 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip3h 08mSEA 08:45 to MFR 11:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.