tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 09:49 PDX
    AS 3132 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 PDX → 13:05 SBA
    AS 2317 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 18m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip4h 20mSEA 08:45 to SBA 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.