tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 18%

  1. 15:16 GEG → 16:32 PDX
    AS 3202 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 17% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:33 PDX → 19:23 OAK
    AS 2082 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip4h 07mGEG 15:16 to OAK 19:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.