tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Seattle via Burbank: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:25 STS → 08:59 BUR
    AS 3213 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 BUR → 12:52 SEA
    AS 720 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 27mSTS 07:25 to SEA 12:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.