tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via Burbank: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:25 STS → 08:59 BUR
    AS 3213 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:55 BUR → 13:30 PHX
    WN 816 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 94% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 05mSTS 07:25 to PHX 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.