tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Santa Ana: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:30 SFO → 14:09 SNA
    AS 3216 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 47m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:56 SNA → 21:40 PAE
    AS 2116 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 44m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 8 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 242 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 47m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 10mSFO 12:30 to PAE 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.