tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 FAT → 09:22 SEA
    AS 3219 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:31 SEA → 14:16 LAS
    AS 738 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 16mFAT 07:00 to LAS 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.