tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:49 RDM → 20:39 SFO
    AS 3226 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 50m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 SFO → 23:52 PDX
    AS 2023 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 03mRDM 18:49 to PDX 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.