tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via Santa Ana: arrives on time 78%

  1. 16:55 STS → 18:37 SNA
    AS 3231 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:45 SNA → 22:05 PHX
    WN 3857 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 80% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 10mSTS 16:55 to PHX 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.