tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Seattle via Santa Ana: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:35 SFO → 08:15 SNA
    AS 3244 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 93% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 SNA → 13:17 SEA
    AS 471 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 42mSFO 06:35 to SEA 13:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.