tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 76%

  1. 18:03 SNA → 19:33 SFO
    AS 3248 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 17mSNA 18:03 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.