tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Baltimore via San Francisco: arrives on time 75%

  1. 18:03 SNA → 19:33 SFO
    AS 3248 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 SFO → 07:10 BWI +1 day
    UA 1340 · United · 5h 30m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 07mSNA 18:03 to BWI 07:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.