tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 49%

  1. 19:59 AUS → 21:13 SAN
    AS 3249 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 3h 14m · 57% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:24 SAN → 23:54 SJC
    AS 1624 · Alaska · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 55mAUS 19:59 to SJC 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.