tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via San Francisco: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 08:30 SFO
    AS 3251 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 93% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:39 SFO → 17:59 DCA
    AS 8 · Alaska · 5h 20m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 14mSNA 06:45 to DCA 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.