tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:50 OAK → 16:26 SAN
    AS 3311 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 SAN → 18:41 LAS
    AS 2018 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 59% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 51mOAK 14:50 to LAS 18:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.