tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 34%

  1. 10:37 OAK → 12:13 SAN
    AS 3313 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 SAN → 14:31 PHX
    AS 2024 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip3h 54mOAK 10:37 to PHX 14:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.