tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:26 STS → 08:15 SAN
    AS 3315 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 88% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SAN → 12:23 PHX
    AS 3023 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 63% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 57mSTS 06:26 to PHX 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.