tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:26 STS → 08:15 SAN
    AS 3315 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 88% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 SAN → 10:31 LAS
    AS 2281 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 05mSTS 06:26 to LAS 10:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.