tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via San Diego: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:24 SFO → 18:09 SAN
    AS 3337 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 SAN → 22:00 PAE
    AS 2189 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 36mSFO 16:24 to PAE 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.