tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 38%

  1. 09:00 SNA → 10:36 SFO
    AS 3342 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 40% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:08 SFO → 13:50 PDX
    AS 235 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 50mSNA 09:00 to PDX 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.