tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via San Francisco: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:00 SNA → 10:36 SFO
    AS 3342 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 40% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:18 SFO → 22:30 DCA
    UA 2386 · United · 5h 12m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip10h 30mSNA 09:00 to DCA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.