tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 20%

  1. 14:50 ACV → 16:30 SEA
    AS 3345 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 69% on time, 7.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 SEA → 19:52 SFO
    AS 791 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 28% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (7.7% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip5h 02mACV 14:50 to SFO 19:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.