tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Bozeman via San Francisco: arrives on time 19%

  1. 11:04 SAN → 12:51 SFO
    AS 3347 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 64% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:56 SFO → 17:11 BZN
    AS 2062 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 15m · 31% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip5h 07mSAN 11:04 to BZN 17:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.